South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37e4c6d081c5ba39b5d20febe214c621a9d42beaf0f83163d3765e4c7d0ab18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 16,562$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.05 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 44c | 4,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 32c | 3,702$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.64 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 3,183$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 2,520$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.18 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,228$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.18 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 2,098$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.81 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 1,807$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.01 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 42c | 999.91$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 630.13$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.23 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 23c | 559.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 530.21$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 372.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 346.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 58c | 316.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 57c | 300.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 40c | 252.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 56c | 165.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 164$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Under | 56c | 147.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 131.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Under | 56c | 119.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 42c | 114.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 42c | 108.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 58c | 81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 42c | 65.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 62.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 43c | 49.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed Over | 44c | 44.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Over | 44c | 44.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 44c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Under | 69c | 36.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Under | 57c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 49c | 33.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Under | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 75c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 58c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 76c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.