CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e898363969d04a103f819012df38b00190040037c5e7d3f1164ab59a60d0c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed LAG Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked LAG Gaming | 6c | 1,690$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LAG Gaming | 8c | 1,425$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 1,218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LAG Gaming | 9c | 1,119$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked LAG Gaming | 7c | 1,080$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed LAG Gaming | 10c | 809.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked LAG Gaming | 8c | 677.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LAG Gaming | 8c | 608.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LAG Gaming | 8c | 456.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed LAG Gaming | 8c | 418$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed LAG Gaming | 9c | 406$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked LAG Gaming | 9c | 378.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LAG Gaming | 5c | 366.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked LAG Gaming | 9c | 350.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…fd40backed LAG Gaming | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 278.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LAG Gaming | 9c | 258$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed LAG Gaming | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked LAG Gaming | 5c | 232.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LAG Gaming | 6c | 229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 217$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed LAG Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LAG Gaming | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed LAG Gaming | 12c | 199.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5262backed LAG Gaming | 10c | 194.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LAG Gaming | 10c | 119.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed LAG Gaming | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs LAG Gaming (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.