MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb10ecf5bc62255563ce2a747ea0299a83adedbc1d741afc3ad7d1842c51d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 50c | 130,528$65,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,754.21 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 127,648$63,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,315.64 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 9,805$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.6 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 8,618$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 7,572$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 4,882$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.94 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 4,733$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.7 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 50c | 3,293$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.67 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 3,118$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,949$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,800$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 2,571$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.53 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Under | 62c | 2,024$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 2,014$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.05 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,963$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,779$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 1,573$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.23 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,571$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.68 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 49c | 1,269$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 51c | 1,145$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.98 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,115$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 50c | 998.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.28 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Under | 72c | 972.38$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 50c | 798.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.19 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 50c | 699.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 28c | 571.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…4d94backed Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 382.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 50c | 381.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 50c | 322.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 35c | 317.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 50c | 288$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 50c | 287.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 233.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 51c | 203$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 196.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 49c | 161.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 129.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 51c | 124.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 50c | 114.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 92.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Under | 50c | 81.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Under | 54c | 73.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…aff7backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 50c | 61.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 60.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 57.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Over | 50c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 51c | 50.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 35c | 46.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…f6f1backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 55c | 37.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 51c | 33.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 49c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 64c | 27.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…c50dbacked Under | 50c | 25.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 42c | 25.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…9eb9backed Under | 52c | 24.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…3da2backed Over | 42c | 24.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 51c | 22.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.