MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x372109e907f8bd038b467d047ed13721c6591f402131029bd005b8eedadf081b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 18,633$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.47 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 14,982$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.14 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 3,733$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 2,050$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,949$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.43 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,761$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.4 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,696$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,565$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.34 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,482$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,462$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.48 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 819.67$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.47 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 799.88$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 774.89$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.08 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 461.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 305.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 188.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 159$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 150.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 135.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…3c86backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 114.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 85.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 60.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 59.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 55.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 54.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 53.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 49.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 47.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 47.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 44.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 42.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 40.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 40.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 39.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…7bb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 37.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 35.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 33.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 33.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 30.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 29.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 27.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…6a57backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.