Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7edd01946bee550702993f53d3199a38fb9c25c5248440fad8cf6635fd7ab6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Fritz, Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fritz | 31c | 1,232$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.65 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Fritz | 35c | 849.94$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.48 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Shelton | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Shelton | 69c | 703.59$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Fritz | 40c | 616.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.82 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fritz | 36c | 610$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Shelton | 69c | 574.62$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Shelton | 63c | 438.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50b…2f40backed Shelton | 69c | 433.13$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shelton | 65c | 404$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Fritz | 29c | 340.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Shelton | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Fritz | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Fritz | 29c | 299.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shelton | 65c | 276.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Fritz | 40c | 252.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Fritz | 37c | 212.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shelton | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Shelton | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Shelton | 70c | 166.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Shelton | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Fritz | 34c | 148.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fritz | 30c | 139.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Fritz | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shelton | 61c | 117.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fritz | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fritz | 31c | 91.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shelton | 62c | 87.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Shelton | 65c | 86.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Shelton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Shelton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Shelton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Shelton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Shelton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Fritz | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Fritz | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Shelton | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Fritz | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fritz | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Shelton | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Shelton | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Fritz | 42c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…2990backed Fritz | 34c | 37.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Shelton | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Shelton | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…af22backed Shelton | 69c | 31.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -9.1wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shelton | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Shelton | 65c | 29.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked Shelton | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Shelton | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)this page
- Ben Shelton vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs FritzShelton won
- Shelton vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.