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La Liga · resolved market

Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Athletic Club?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes11c9,264$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Yes16c5,900$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9441020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c1,100$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010129.7%30 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019429.9%58 W · 136 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes10c999.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9922022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c963.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5424639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes11c693.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0933531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c539.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.756538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-89.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006225.8%16 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes10c295.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes19c234.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.317841.6%74 W · 104 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c211$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.884,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes10c179$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.920942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes10c175$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes9c155.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25044%22 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd87e…36fabacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f8…4c79backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes19c75.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0414043.6%61 W · 79 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0989139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No79c15.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.196939.1%27 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.