Spread: Southeastern Louisiana Lions (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f001cc2ef9ce48d01f6563beb8cfcd42c60d22ae8fff20952972050c73a64c5

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New Orleans Privateersof Southeastern Louisiana Lions, New Orleans Privateers
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $799,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $799,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,569 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	499,259$259,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259,605.38	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	270,000$129,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140,400	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	250,000$129,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,999.47	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	246,797$118,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128,334.64	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	200,000$96,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,000	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed New Orleans Privateers	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,600	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	12,375$6,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,434.97	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	12,222$5,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,355.44	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	72c	9,662$6,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,955.78	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked New Orleans Privateers	28c	9,648$2,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,945.26	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	+14.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	6,060$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,151.27	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	5,373$2,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,783.52	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	5,014$2,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,606.75	169	54.4%92 W · 77 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	1c	4,573$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	1,982$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.87	327	51.7%169 W · 158 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	255	56.1%143 W · 112 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	750$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	514.8$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.36	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Orleans Privateers	49c	513.54$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.16	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1005…a843backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	487.01$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.78	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New Orleans Privateers	47c	443.42$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.94	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	413.18$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.97	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	385.26$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	50c	373.73$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.13	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	347.83$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.39	222	50.9%113 W · 109 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed New Orleans Privateers	51c	316$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.84	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	51c	299.99$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	288.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	250.47$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	249.98$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked New Orleans Privateers	51c	196.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.86	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	178.57$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.86	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked New Orleans Privateers	49c	169.89$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.65	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	162.16$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.16	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	154.32$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	149.03$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.55	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	111.51$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…e731backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked New Orleans Privateers	53c	97.15$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.77	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	92.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	70.8$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.04	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked New Orleans Privateers	48c	70.08$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.44	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed New Orleans Privateers	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	536	35.6%191 W · 345 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	125	60%75 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d8…af3ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	47.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked New Orleans Privateers	49c	45.81$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.42	1,124	46.4%521 W · 603 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	44.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	42.76$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked New Orleans Privateers	51c	42.37$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	627	53%332 W · 295 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked New Orleans Privateers	50c	39.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.61	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed New Orleans Privateers	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbe…4694backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f7…db44backed New Orleans Privateers	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…9c15backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	51c	29.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	51c	27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee87…28edbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…6946backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions	52c	19.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Southeastern Louisiana Lions (-2.5)this page
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana LionsNew Orleans Privateers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Southeastern Louisiana Lions (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event