CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f249b8dbe1112a6f1c97b31ef40c2eb3cfa68496450e6a5bb46d93b0553e274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Bebop, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bebop | 65c | 3,248$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.56 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Honvéd | 40c | 1,024$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.8 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 61c | 986.9$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Honvéd | 35c | 923.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.58 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Honvéd | 34c | 642.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.86 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Honvéd | 37c | 590$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.84 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Honvéd | 50c | 543.41$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Honvéd | 34c | 515.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.11 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 37c | 496.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Honvéd | 35c | 475.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Honvéd | 34c | 462.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Bebop | 70c | 336.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.66 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Bebop | 76c | 300$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Honvéd | 34c | 284.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Bebop | 66c | 282.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Bebop | 59c | 257.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Honvéd | 34c | 237.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Honvéd | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Honvéd | 41c | 232.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Honvéd | 57c | 218$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Honvéd | 67c | 208.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Bebop | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 29c | 182.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Bebop | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bebop | 38c | 133$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Bebop | 67c | 132.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Bebop | 66c | 117.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Bebop | 64c | 114$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Bebop | 10c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Honvéd | 48c | 110.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Bebop | 66c | 108.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Bebop | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Honvéd | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Bebop | 33c | 90.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Honvéd | 71c | 88.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Bebop | 12c | 86.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Bebop | 65c | 81.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Bebop | 28c | 77.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bebop | 58c | 76.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop | 38c | 72.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Honvéd | 55c | 66.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bebop | 63c | 65.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Honvéd | 18c | 62.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 51c | 60.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Bebop | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Honvéd | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Honvéd | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bebop | 54c | 53.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Bebop | 77c | 53.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bebop | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Honvéd | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Honvéd | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Honvéd | 47c | 41.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Honvéd | 44c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Honvéd | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Bebop | 35c | 34.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Honvéd | 72c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 34c | 32.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Honvéd | 39c | 30.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Bebop | 48c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -9.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Honvéd | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Bebop | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Honvéd | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…4995backed Bebop | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Bebop | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…580bbacked Bebop | 67c | 15.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.