NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f54ceebc61230da4ae89b446a08fb8443339c66f07e029dbcc452ba7b41c629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dinamo Minskof HC Dynamo Moscow, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 1,023$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.68 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…dc5abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 651$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 617.3$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 54c | 545.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 541.87$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 461.49$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Dinamo Minsk | 49c | 304.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 234.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 40c | 225.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…7babbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 172.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 150.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 149.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 149.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 145.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 117.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 112.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 109.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 99.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…233fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 98.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 87.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 42c | 87.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Dinamo Minsk | 50c | 81.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9c31backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 79.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 64.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 59.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 59.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 58.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 58.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 58.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 42.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 41c | 39.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 41c | 38.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 35.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 34.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d14…abaebacked Dinamo Minsk | 72c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Dinamo Minsk | 40c | 33.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…df60backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 45c | 32.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 29.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 28.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 25.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…242bbacked Dinamo Minsk | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…d7afbacked Dinamo Minsk | 61c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.