Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Ugo Blanchet vs Oliver Tarvet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe060c0c5c81d9fc5a9776ef9fd36e5b4d78b7db9aae95e3f8bb63f30d209f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliver Tarvetof Ugo Blanchet, Oliver Tarvet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73b…2771backed Ugo Blanchet | 35c | 6,120$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Tarvet | 69c | 6,111$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ugo Blanchet | 17c | 5,115$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.27 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Ugo Blanchet | 10c | 4,715$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Ugo Blanchet | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ugo Blanchet | 28c | 1,425$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oliver Tarvet | 74c | 1,330$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Tarvet | 58c | 1,021$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ugo Blanchet | 14c | 999.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ugo Blanchet | 40c | 952.68$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Oliver Tarvet | 63c | 941.94$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ugo Blanchet | 21c | 821.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ugo Blanchet | 8c | 538.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Ugo Blanchet | 30c | 535.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ugo Blanchet | 38c | 512.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ugo Blanchet | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…97ebbacked Ugo Blanchet | 6c | 498.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ugo Blanchet | 37c | 490.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Ugo Blanchet | 5c | 424.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ugo Blanchet | 27c | 408.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Oliver Tarvet | 47c | 321$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.13 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Ugo Blanchet | 32c | 316.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Oliver Tarvet | 54c | 304.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ugo Blanchet | 36c | 277.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Oliver Tarvet | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Ugo Blanchet | 20c | 252.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Ugo Blanchet | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Oliver Tarvet | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Oliver Tarvet | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Ugo Blanchet | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oliver Tarvet | 63c | 180.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Ugo Blanchet | 37c | 179.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ugo Blanchet | 11c | 178.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Oliver Tarvet | 62c | 175.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Oliver Tarvet | 62c | 150.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Oliver Tarvet | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ugo Blanchet | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Ugo Blanchet | 19c | 114.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Oliver Tarvet | 45c | 114.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Oliver Tarvet | 45c | 114.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Ugo Blanchet | 38c | 109.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oliver Tarvet | 66c | 108.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Ugo Blanchet | 19c | 107.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Ugo Blanchet | 42c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Ugo Blanchet | 36c | 83.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ugo Blanchet | 41c | 77.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Oliver Tarvet | 61c | 76.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ugo Blanchet | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Ugo Blanchet | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -15.6wins | -0.46per pick | 55cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Oliver Tarvet | 59c | 60.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Oliver Tarvet | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Oliver Tarvet | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ugo Blanchet | 38c | 56.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Ugo Blanchet | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Oliver Tarvet | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Ugo Blanchet | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ugo Blanchet | 37c | 43.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Oliver Tarvet | 64c | 42.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Ugo Blanchet | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Oliver Tarvet | 71c | 38.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Tarvet | 64c | 36.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Ugo Blanchet | 52c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Ugo Blanchet | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Ugo Blanchet | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Oliver Tarvet | 70c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Oliver Tarvet | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Oliver Tarvet | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Oliver Tarvet | 70c | 20.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Oliver Tarvet | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Oliver Tarvet | 64c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.