Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Yuta Kikuchi vs Qian Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff8e7bc7e2e795e4e9b96e44ef81a61ac3d48eca3389a3b73997be308554dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qian Sunof Yuta Kikuchi, Qian Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yuta Kikuchi | 48c | 2,545$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qian Sun | 50c | 1,405$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yuta Kikuchi | 53c | 1,066$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Qian Sun | 46c | 862.81$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 50c | 688.75$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 642.25$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Yuta Kikuchi | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Yuta Kikuchi | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 37c | 602.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Qian Sun | 51c | 496.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.21 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Qian Sun | 44c | 341.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 45c | 338.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qian Sun | 53c | 303.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yuta Kikuchi | 55c | 252$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Qian Sun | 48c | 237.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Yuta Kikuchi | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yuta Kikuchi | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 161.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuta Kikuchi | 53c | 135.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Qian Sun | 44c | 122.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yuta Kikuchi | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Yuta Kikuchi | 62c | 100.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yuta Kikuchi | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Qian Sun | 58c | 98.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…ed60backed Qian Sun | 46c | 97.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Qian Sun | 53c | 90.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yuta Kikuchi | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yuta Kikuchi | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…6a05backed Yuta Kikuchi | 30c | 78.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Yuta Kikuchi | 61c | 74.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qian Sun | 36c | 63.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Qian Sun | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yuta Kikuchi | 35c | 60.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yuta Kikuchi | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Yuta Kikuchi | 33c | 54.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…0720backed Qian Sun | 66c | 53.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Yuta Kikuchi | 50c | 48.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 65c | 45.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Yuta Kikuchi | 48c | 44.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yuta Kikuchi | 55c | 40.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yuta Kikuchi | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yuta Kikuchi | 60c | 38.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 60c | 38.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Qian Sun | 51c | 36.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…c397backed Qian Sun | 58c | 33.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 60c | 30.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Yuta Kikuchi | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Qian Sun | 45c | 28.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6d05backed Qian Sun | 62c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Yuta Kikuchi | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Qian Sun | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…822abacked Qian Sun | 55c | 21.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…8862backed Qian Sun | 49c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Qian Sun | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…055cbacked Yuta Kikuchi | 62c | 19.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.