Tennis · resolved market
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80013fa544c0b581fb05b8f30ec5bc610e727d7cf72eafcac4ed4da6a56e840c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barbora Palicovaof Barbora Palicova, Lucija Bagaric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucija Bagaric | 10c | 6,722$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Barbora Palicova | 52c | 2,193$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.68 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Barbora Palicova | 66c | 1,602$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Barbora Palicova | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucija Bagaric | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Lucija Bagaric | 13c | 809.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Barbora Palicova | 78c | 675.97$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lucija Bagaric | 21c | 652.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lucija Bagaric | 48c | 616.92$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 380.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 322.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucija Bagaric | 16c | 317.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lucija Bagaric | 32c | 293.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Lucija Bagaric | 26c | 281.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Barbora Palicova | 77c | 210.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lucija Bagaric | 11c | 197.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lucija Bagaric | 48c | 174.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Barbora Palicova | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lucija Bagaric | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lucija Bagaric | 41c | 121.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barbora Palicova | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Barbora Palicova | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 98.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lucija Bagaric | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Barbora Palicova | 78c | 86.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Lucija Bagaric | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Lucija Bagaric | 36c | 74.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Lucija Bagaric | 24c | 66.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Barbora Palicova | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…b7dcbacked Lucija Bagaric | 18c | 56.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Barbora Palicova | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…408cbacked Barbora Palicova | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Barbora Palicova | 69c | 43.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Barbora Palicova | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Lucija Bagaric | 50c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Lucija Bagaric | 49c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Barbora Palicova | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Barbora Palicova | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.