Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8034bba5271f7b7477f13550126f4c873a2308dc0faf27da6775045a80251651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67e3…51c9backed Yes | 30c | 6,207$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 4,893$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.75 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,853$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.34 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,590$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 926.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 868.15$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.76 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 625$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 10c | 499$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…1c0cbacked No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 400.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 381.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 362.42$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 297.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 11c | 270$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 228.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 190.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 98.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 96.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 78.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 55.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 760 | 50%380 W · 380 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 52.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 46.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…f289backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 41c | 25.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 313 | 55.9%175 W · 138 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.