TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed Yes33c29,000$9,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,473.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes33c10,688$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,161.2733048.2%159 W · 171 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No66c10,583$6,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.710539%41 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.976137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No66c7,390$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.4421852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c4,626$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.911,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c3,996$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.651,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes34c3,804$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.5522847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c3,652$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.56,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No68c2,250$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.759457.4%54 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes59c2,009$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.861,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No66c1,960$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.5710558.1%61 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,837$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.72,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c1,795$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.451,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c1,707$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.771,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c1,572$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.7850649.8%252 W · 254 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-53.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes30c1,217$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.129350.5%47 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c1,194$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.7765744.6%293 W · 364 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes74c1,114$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.094553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67074950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67085952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes65c924.48$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4811677.6%90 W · 26 L+23.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No5c920$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-75.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No67c886.55$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9922537.8%85 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c842.02$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7965447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c785.51$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.444,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5c…0bdebacked Yes30c666$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c634.87$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8739141.7%163 W · 228 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes31c585.08$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.717749.4%38 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No57c539.3$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8310038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No5c530$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+83.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.549772.2%70 W · 27 L+17.6wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c432.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0368539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Yes69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No26c384$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8477241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes64c380$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.83542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed No4c331.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156131.1%19 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No68c298.51$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.993551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c92…9cd9backed Yes61c295.31$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.315100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Yes34c294.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes30c279.02$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.024438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Yes33c258.53$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes33c258.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.212759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes34c257$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6231843.1%137 W · 181 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked Yes79c253.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No68c237.36$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7336951.2%189 W · 180 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes31c211.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3636248.1%174 W · 188 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes73c200.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.066437.5%24 W · 40 L-11.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No68c188.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.192339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No67c185.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.485959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No16c182.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5168932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe65b…2b25backed No67c182$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f79…15aabacked Yes30c177.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.414100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+147.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No67c173.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No21c143.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.097954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No66c124.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.215345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No67c119$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7310529.5%31 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c118.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1337638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked No70c105.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed No36c104.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6823831.5%75 W · 163 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x971f…fbc8backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111639.7%46 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Yes68c99.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes64c98.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.433863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No69c97.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.831,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes34c86.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0911441.2%47 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes34c84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4417648.9%86 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca78…fe5dbacked Yes34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.57per pick30cpaid+205.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x75e9…e746backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes71c73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.177363%46 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes33c61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.872365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Yes32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No69c59.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8115148.3%73 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes34c56.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.386830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed No70c56.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.464953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1686748.7%422 W · 445 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes72c40.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.415134.4%52 W · 99 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…2348backed No67c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c02…23bcbacked Yes32c31.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes46c30.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2723356.7%132 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.413661%83 W · 53 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Yes34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ed…a4f5backed No72c29.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes66c28.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.685263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.