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Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed No57c69,309$39,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,988.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes43c25,000$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7502050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c11,576$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.196,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes43c10,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.996850%34 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c9,925$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.061,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes36c4,126$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.431,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes40c3,761$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.422847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes6c3,413$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2499345.8%455 W · 538 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c2,995$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.891,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0561450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c2,392$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.7985952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c2,336$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9382,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c2,225$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.9165447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes27c1,934$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.884553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c1,783$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9574950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes40c1,607$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3937638.3%144 W · 232 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250649.8%252 W · 254 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.813863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44065744.6%293 W · 364 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305038%19 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207664.5%49 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c978.36$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8668539.9%273 W · 412 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes5c936.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No61c819.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.751952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes41c807.87$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.659457.4%54 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No74c783.75$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.777954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No73c767.44$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1668932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No70c532.86$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8910038%38 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c476$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.211,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes38c454.88$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0836951.2%189 W · 180 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked No66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes40c292.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.61,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes9c267.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c265.72$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.064,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1954428.1%153 W · 391 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes44c229.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1923457.3%134 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked No62c207.58$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.881030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes41c171.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5131355.9%175 W · 138 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes44c168.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.236830.9%21 W · 47 L-10.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes43c151.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.998047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes44c148.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.239660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes42c144$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6217648.9%86 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No73c131$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.785263.5%33 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes43c127.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.997140.8%29 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No79c122.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0260147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Yes40c122.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.853946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes43c120.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4111441.2%47 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes43c117.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.456830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…eeabbacked Yes44c105.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9922848.2%110 W · 118 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes34c97.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes40c89.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.720151.2%103 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7686748.7%422 W · 445 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes44c81.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9814833.1%49 W · 99 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes43c71.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked No63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.615345.8%70 W · 83 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes43c56.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.385846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739b…417ebacked Yes43c55.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes42c55.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0616845.2%76 W · 92 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f9c…02ebbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e5…d67ebacked No60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked No72c48.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.576100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2b…dd4abacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…963ebacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No66c45.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes41c45.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.796553.8%35 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b05…17f1backed Yes38c40.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes38c39.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes42c37.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911350.4%57 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes43c35.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.286546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8a…7116backed No57c33.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes42c29.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5823356.7%132 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked Yes39c26.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes43c26.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b16…66d3backed Yes43c23.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.