NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8044e85540b293a532b44cf603675ff86302b7f825f2ec001cb5e9f802e83dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6884…e224backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 99,650$43,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,846 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…c6d1backed Panthers | 56c | 99,650$55,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,846 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Panthers | 55c | 30,620$16,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,715.17 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 10,714$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,266$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,488$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,211$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.94 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 53c | 4,393$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 54c | 2,857$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.4 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 2,550$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,098$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,921$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.45 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,616$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.67 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Panthers | 57c | 1,502$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 1,294$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 56c | 1,200$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,080$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.09 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,058$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,053$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 984$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 77c | 881.17$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 682$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.75 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 680$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Panthers | 55c | 545.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 508.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 480.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Panthers | 51c | 457.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 53c | 430.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 54c | 417.76$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.17 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Panthers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 380.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 363.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 335.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Panthers | 56c | 315.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Panthers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5f61backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Panthers | 53c | 283.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 248.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 222.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 212.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Panthers | 56c | 201.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Panthers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Panthers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Panthers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 174.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…81f2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 169.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Panthers | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Panthers | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…0597backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 143.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…8156backed Panthers | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Panthers | 57c | 133.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 128.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…f125backed Panthers | 57c | 119.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 54c | 114.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 110.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Panthers | 55c | 108.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…107cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 104.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Panthers | 54c | 100.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…4ad0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Panthers | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Panthers | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…6134backed Panthers | 56c | 94.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…6f31backed Panthers | 56c | 93.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…2dedbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 93.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…d9b2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 93.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…36a4backed Panthers | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…fe04backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 92.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…9f1fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 92.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…a05bbacked Panthers | 56c | 91.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…823fbacked Panthers | 55c | 90.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Panthers | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…6a60backed Panthers | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…988cbacked Panthers | 57c | 88.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…96e4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 87.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…71a3backed Panthers | 56c | 86.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…2e36backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 86.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…aeb6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 86.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…eb92backed Panthers | 55c | 83.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0896…d5b3backed Panthers | 56c | 83.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…a255backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 83.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…41a5backed Panthers | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…f75fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 80.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf128…053dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…8b7dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7fa0backed Panthers | 56c | 76.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.