Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80bb5694fad271f66df13252b04adcc99a171c46af36a22ef57ec6ac06a5e4c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kashiwa Reysolof Kashiwa Reysol, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Kashiwa Reysol | 50c | 1,450$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kashiwa Reysol | 49c | 1,212$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 59c | 1,152$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kashiwa Reysol | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Kashiwa Reysol | 34c | 922.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.28 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Kashiwa Reysol | 41c | 627.19$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…ad0fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 60c | 500.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 65c | 184.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 138.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Kashiwa Reysol | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 64c | 81.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Kashiwa Reysol | 53c | 72.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 67c | 49.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 69c | 40.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 38c | 30.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 59c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Kashiwa Reysol | 50c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.