Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9dac0be89b9c8140a653826a9e5b10e08bf29335f8de96a9d9b879649dc8fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 48c | 2,698$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 2,082$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.26 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,011$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.91 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 54c | 809.75$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.27 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 615.56$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.71 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 47c | 418.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 54c | 404.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 49c | 299.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…c73ebacked Yes | 47c | 274.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 261.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 221.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 212$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked No | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 45c | 71.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 58.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 46.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 55c | 20.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 54c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 56c | 18.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.