Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8182c6857c4e7914d054223afffa304e60a680a7a1d4907866ac346a976df08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Synapseof Team Synapse, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Synapse | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.98 | 480 | 46.5%223 W · 257 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 8,267$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.05 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 6,633$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.37 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 3,363$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.33 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 2,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Synapse | 53c | 1,690$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.29 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 1,270$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Team Synapse | 60c | 1,098$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Synapse | 51c | 1,025$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.77 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 901.66$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 333 | 41.1%137 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 831.01$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.89 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 727.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 530.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Synapse | 53c | 427.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Synapse | 62c | 417.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 1,525 | 38%579 W · 946 L | -56.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…a29ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 395.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Team Synapse | 67c | 373.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 320.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 253.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 240.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 170 | 44.7%76 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 209.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed Team Synapse | 54c | 207.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 203$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Synapse | 50c | 201.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 307 | 52.1%160 W · 147 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 196.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 163.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Team Synapse | 48c | 156.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 147.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 134.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Synapse | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 446 | 49.6%221 W · 225 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Synapse | 50c | 121.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 591 | 46.9%277 W · 314 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Synapse | 50c | 118.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 575 | 45.2%260 W · 315 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Team Synapse | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Team Synapse | 51c | 98.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 89.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 861 | 51.3%442 W · 419 L | +31.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 62.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 61.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Synapse | 73c | 58.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 49.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Team Synapse | 56c | 47.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 46.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Synapse | 75c | 46.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 432 | 60%259 W · 173 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 44.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Team Synapse | 75c | 40.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Synapse | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Team Synapse | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team Synapse | 46c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Synapse | 48c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 397 | 58.7%233 W · 164 L | +24.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Synapse | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)Team Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.