Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27db44808037c7623372bda7367f2195742b293cc7452be760de2a62f9ef388c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Team Synapse, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Synapse | 50c | 8,544$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.49 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Synapse | 54c | 6,163$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.2 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +19.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 3,304$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.83 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Synapse | 57c | 2,571$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 2,200$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Synapse | 59c | 2,188$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 541 | 51.8%280 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 2,066$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.94 | 545 | 59.3%323 W · 222 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Synapse | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 1,183$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.61 | 216 | 60.6%131 W · 85 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Synapse | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 966 | 57.3%554 W · 412 L | +49.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…4933backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.42 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Synapse | 64c | 1,100$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.28 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 956.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.37 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Team Synapse | 43c | 853.28$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 769.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 757.67$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 750$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 699.56$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 649.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 647$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…a29ebacked Team Synapse | 52c | 619.3$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Synapse | 54c | 616.32$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.81 | 333 | 41.1%137 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…f7f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 553.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…210bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 535.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Synapse | 52c | 523.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 424.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 420.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 394.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…df55backed Team Synapse | 56c | 376.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 312.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…6b0dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 304.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 295.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…62bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 294.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Synapse | 55c | 272.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Team Synapse | 59c | 267.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 253$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Team Synapse | 50c | 233.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 223$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 211.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 209.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 205$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 190.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 187.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 156.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Synapse | 47c | 126.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…0128backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 121.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Synapse | 64c | 113$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 102.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 97.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…24d9backed Team Synapse | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Synapse | 60c | 86.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 84.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Synapse | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,126 | 36.2%408 W · 718 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 71.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Team Synapse | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -14.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 64.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 220 | 44.1%97 W · 123 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 53.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 49.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Synapse | 54c | 48.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 48.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 47.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…66ebbacked Team Synapse | 68c | 44.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Team Synapse | 68c | 43.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 861 | 51.3%442 W · 419 L | +31.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Synapse | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Team Synapse | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 295 | 50.5%149 W · 146 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…124dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 34.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 392 | 46.2%181 W · 211 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 176 | 30.7%54 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Team Synapse | 55c | 29.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -17.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 27.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Team Synapse | 55c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…5c2ebacked Team Synapse | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked Team Synapse | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Synapse | 69c | 18.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 397 | 58.7%233 W · 164 L | +24.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…e960backed Team Synapse | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Synapse won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)Team Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.