Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81b110ac205d91ff13c85bd45879d888cc5269208b1c8450bf41c98f38fb46e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 43c | 6,666$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.01 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 4,651$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.72 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 3,945$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.51 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 2,656$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 29c | 1,767$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.63 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 1,729$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.08 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,243$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 22c | 1,170$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 71c | 1,022$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 1,016$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 531.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 435$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 399.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 391.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 58c | 378.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 5c | 360.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 58c | 340.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 3c | 338.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…375bbacked Yes | 32c | 305.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 265.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 254.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 58c | 198.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 196.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…9355backed Yes | 41c | 192.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…6ca1backed Yes | 22c | 177.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 173$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 58c | 172.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 36c | 160.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 22c | 143.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 58c | 133.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 9c | 131.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 125.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 118.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 112.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 107.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 32c | 104.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…701fbacked Yes | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 93.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 61c | 88.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 66.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked No | 59c | 58.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 54.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 23c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 41.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 58c | 39.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 58c | 39.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 38.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…6011backed No | 56c | 37.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 39c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc231…a519backed No | 55c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.