Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c335810a35346f4f0c506e2fe52b07e7483b9a7a502bcfe59eb3fb3e41a492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AGELITEof REIGNITE FOXX, AGELITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed AGELITE | 32c | 830.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.83 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 48c | 800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked AGELITE | 49c | 698.97$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed AGELITE | 25c | 518.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.14 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked AGELITE | 52c | 437.06$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed REIGNITE FOXX | 75c | 414.14$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.26 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 59c | 358.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 76c | 345.24$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked AGELITE | 56c | 334.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed REIGNITE FOXX | 44c | 322.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed AGELITE | 24c | 278.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 74c | 269.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed REIGNITE FOXX | 56c | 266.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed REIGNITE FOXX | 74c | 256.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 79c | 228.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked AGELITE | 26c | 209.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REIGNITE FOXX | 31c | 202.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked AGELITE | 27c | 190.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed REIGNITE FOXX | 67c | 160.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AGELITE | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked AGELITE | 41c | 96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 87.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed REIGNITE FOXX | 42c | 86.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed AGELITE | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked AGELITE | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed REIGNITE FOXX | 46c | 69.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AGELITE | 56c | 64.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked REIGNITE FOXX | 66c | 60.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 60.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed AGELITE | 35c | 58.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REIGNITE FOXX | 47c | 51.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed AGELITE | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AGELITE | 47c | 49.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 48.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed AGELITE | 30c | 48.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4cdbbacked AGELITE | 30c | 48.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REIGNITE FOXX | 77c | 44.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed AGELITE | 26c | 44.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REIGNITE FOXX | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed AGELITE | 41c | 39.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked REIGNITE FOXX | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 30.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked AGELITE | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed REIGNITE FOXX | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed REIGNITE FOXX | 68c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 76c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…098abacked REIGNITE FOXX | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0b…8fc5backed AGELITE | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed REIGNITE FOXX | 73c | 17.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…8d93backed REIGNITE FOXX | 74c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked REIGNITE FOXX | 69c | 14.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.