Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835edd51a5542b1ebb3a01627124ddb2810239432d698dbca3eb0393979a4080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Mercyhurst Lakers, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 26c | 4,675$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.42 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 72c | 3,815$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 68c | 2,519$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.78 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 23c | 2,462$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.08 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 39c | 1,017$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 58c | 699.86$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 31c | 646.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 471.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…be92backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 5c | 389.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 56c | 315.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 40c | 216$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 3cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 199.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 148.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 132.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 31c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 110.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 106.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 59c | 104.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 61c | 97.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 82.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 40c | 74.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 72.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 57c | 71.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 57.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 58c | 45.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…c898backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 39.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 50c | 20.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-2.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.