CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83625ab2a2caf773206dd5140b33a98e6e62cdd986aac5cdc8edb4dec5e82183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Archof OLDBOYS-, Arch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arch | 27c | 1,299$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OLDBOYS- | 74c | 1,155$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.65 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OLDBOYS- | 22c | 1,022$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arch | 49c | 711$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OLDBOYS- | 65c | 505.44$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OLDBOYS- | 77c | 346.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Arch | 30c | 313.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arch | 37c | 237.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arch | 63c | 220.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Arch | 59c | 173.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Arch | 50c | 173.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed OLDBOYS- | 30c | 167.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arch | 28c | 118.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arch | 53c | 100.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Arch | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked OLDBOYS- | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OLDBOYS- | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked OLDBOYS- | 63c | 63.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked OLDBOYS- | 79c | 58.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed OLDBOYS- | 79c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed OLDBOYS- | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Arch | 38c | 32.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed OLDBOYS- | 56c | 28.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…a06dbacked OLDBOYS- | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked OLDBOYS- | 65c | 24.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Arch - Map 2 WinnerArch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.