NFL · resolved market
Will Aidan Hutchinson be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83786244582818445c96cd9c581193a64fda56b9e95fa4a80089b3ccf1b3907c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 1c | 54,167$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…f621backed Yes | 1c | 13,793$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…9f97backed Yes | 1c | 13,575$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 12,987$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…e7f6backed Yes | 1c | 12,948$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked Yes | 1c | 12,754$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b1…eea5backed Yes | 1c | 9,609$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…277ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,234$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…6495backed Yes | 1c | 9,161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…69b3backed Yes | 1c | 9,135$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9580…e5f6backed Yes | 1c | 8,928$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…d580backed Yes | 1c | 8,772$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…f30bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…6309backed Yes | 1c | 7,870$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 7,090$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…e491backed Yes | 2c | 6,540$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…19bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,743$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…56fabacked Yes | 1c | 5,364$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf50…18d8backed Yes | 1c | 5,041$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4539…b889backed Yes | 1c | 4,973$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…5120backed Yes | 1c | 4,953$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…9addbacked Yes | 1c | 4,895$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…7a10backed Yes | 1c | 4,871$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4c…a000backed Yes | 1c | 4,857$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…06c2backed Yes | 1c | 4,822$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…b704backed Yes | 1c | 4,820$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…c839backed Yes | 1c | 4,786$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…36ebbacked Yes | 1c | 4,731$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…aaeebacked Yes | 1c | 4,665$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…a8ffbacked Yes | 1c | 4,637$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…e54bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,631$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…8ea5backed Yes | 0c | 4,631$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…3e4bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,603$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…a04ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,456$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…e812backed Yes | 1c | 4,430$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fe…0accbacked Yes | 1c | 4,133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7134…8febbacked Yes | 1c | 3,673$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…81e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,415$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,158$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,911$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…ccf3backed Yes | 1c | 2,776$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…981cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,328$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 1c | 2,028$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,442$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…c399backed Yes | 1c | 1,019$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…6942backed Yes | 2c | 943.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 63c | 112.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…41e3backed No | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f1…8691backed Yes | 33c | 65.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aidan Hutchinson be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?this page
- Will Brandon Aiyuk be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Chris Godwin be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Chris Olave be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?Yes won
- Will Dak Prescott be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Derek Carr be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Deshaun Watson be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Dre Greenlaw be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Evan Engram be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will J.J. McCarthy be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Kenneth Walker be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Maxx Crosby be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Philip Rivers be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rashee Rice be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Rashid Shaheed be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Stefon Diggs be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Tank Dell be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
- Will Tua Tagovailoa be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.