TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Detroit Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Titansof Northern Kentucky Norse, Detroit Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2745…a5fbbacked Detroit Titans28c885.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.761764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse38c878.85$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Detroit Titans27c768.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.511,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse72c750$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse72c538.62$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.81,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Northern Kentucky Norse28c537$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Kentucky Norse29c450.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.113,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Detroit Titans70c429.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Detroit Titans52c422.3$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.313247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse66c372.66$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Northern Kentucky Norse48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Titans48c296.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.032,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northern Kentucky Norse23c274.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.082,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse72c249.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse8c243.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Titans29c238.85$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.781,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Kentucky Norse37c179.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Detroit Titans64c155.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4718167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Northern Kentucky Norse72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Titans28c133.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.42,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4320…814bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse26c116.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Detroit Titans31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.996319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Titans30c99.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Northern Kentucky Norse19c99.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Detroit Titans60c97.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse71c84.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.984,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Detroit Titans68c78.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7136…8ddcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse55c74.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Detroit Titans28c71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1225436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Detroit Titans30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de5…c157backed Northern Kentucky Norse39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse38c60.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Titans50c47.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Detroit Titans33c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.472,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140a…1ac4backed Detroit Titans30c34.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+185.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cab…1d6cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse61c32.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse69c28.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0339050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Northern Kentucky Norse73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10d…3590backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c19.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a11…de7cbacked Detroit Titans56c17.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34d…bbe8backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c15.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1150%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.