Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85154759a61efdf5041576dcd835b377a0d21f1e252bd7fbde128283c1aaa6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Austria Wienof FK Austria Wien, FK Liepāja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Liepāja | 59c | 1,973$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Austria Wien | 43c | 1,751$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.86 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Liepāja | 55c | 891.99$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Liepāja | 61c | 890.3$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.08 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FK Austria Wien | 42c | 576.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.91 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed FK Liepāja | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed FK Austria Wien | 32c | 311.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed FK Austria Wien | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Liepāja | 59c | 271.6$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FK Austria Wien | 42c | 230.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed FK Austria Wien | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Austria Wien | 40c | 210.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked FK Liepāja | 57c | 158.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Liepāja | 55c | 148.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK Austria Wien | 41c | 133.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Liepāja | 69c | 131.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FK Austria Wien | 75c | 128.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FK Liepāja | 61c | 102.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FK Austria Wien | 40c | 95.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FK Austria Wien | 40c | 91.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…a9acbacked FK Austria Wien | 32c | 81.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FK Austria Wien | 75c | 80.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FK Austria Wien | 53c | 75.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked FK Austria Wien | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed FK Liepāja | 62c | 43.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FK Austria Wien | 40c | 37.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FK Austria Wien | 38c | 34.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked FK Austria Wien | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked FK Austria Wien | 45c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked FK Liepāja | 56c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FK Austria Wien | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Liepāja | 67c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5)this page
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: FK Austria Wien O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Liepāja vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Austria Wien (-2.5)FK Liepāja won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.