Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875ba618dfb03732a597574b5c699d697e8d895abb96689d05f24f69227466fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Karmine Corp, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Team Vitality | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,386$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.4 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,211$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.85 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Team Vitality | 55c | 1,062$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.98 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 301$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 279.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 269$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Team Vitality | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Team Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…3cabbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 96.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 49c | 82.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 58.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Team Vitality | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 50.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Vitality | 54c | 39.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Vitality | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.