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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bublikiof Hyperion, Bubliki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,729 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc387…5a97backed Hyperion49c1,600$791 inLost-$791.1861754.3%335 W · 282 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed Bubliki57c1,219$691 inWon+$528.568261%50 W · 32 L+13.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Hyperion51c598.64$304 inLost-$303.652046.5%242 W · 278 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Hyperion45c426.3$191 inLost-$191.11,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Bubliki50c410$206 inWon+$20419343%83 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4b…59acbacked Bubliki49c308.25$150 inWon+$158.251275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Bubliki67c300.11$200 inWon+$100.118063.8%51 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…3dccbacked Bubliki62c254.64$158 inWon+$96.332454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Hyperion7c237.98$16 inLost-$16.483,20634%1,089 W · 2,117 L-150.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bubliki51c221.51$114 inWon+$107.591,12947.8%540 W · 589 L+2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Hyperion11c199.99$22 inLost-$2218044.4%80 W · 100 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Bubliki50c108.86$54 inWon+$54.8624867.3%167 W · 81 L+35.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bubliki50c100$50 inWon+$5092349.9%461 W · 462 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Bubliki50c100$50 inWon+$501,11046.3%514 W · 596 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Bubliki50c100$50 inWon+$5065140.2%262 W · 389 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed Hyperion39c97.72$39 inLost-$38.5339655.1%218 W · 178 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Bubliki42c97.63$41 inWon+$56.8533652.1%175 W · 161 L+32.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Hyperion12c91$11 inLost-$11.1916847.6%80 W · 88 L+16.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Bubliki50c55$28 inWon+$27.51,02245.4%464 W · 558 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Hyperion57c52.63$30 inLost-$3022857%130 W · 98 L+21.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Hyperion51c48$24 inLost-$24.4865842.1%277 W · 381 L-56.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked Hyperion58c34.4$20 inLost-$19.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Bubliki54c33.71$18 inWon+$15.5131643.4%137 W · 179 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Bubliki42c24.4$10 inWon+$14.1577349.4%382 W · 391 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Hyperion47c24.17$11 inLost-$11.3651856.6%293 W · 225 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.