Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff4dcc0800750215ae939968de99e1684407064058befb41d5cddc13294f8b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Hyperion, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Hyperion | 55c | 2,214$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Bubliki | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…5135backed Bubliki | 50c | 1,243$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…0da4backed Hyperion | 69c | 502.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Hyperion | 46c | 492.64$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +16.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Hyperion | 50c | 451$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…59acbacked Bubliki | 47c | 382.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Bubliki | 53c | 380.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bubliki | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hyperion | 50c | 295.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bubliki | 53c | 271.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…8709backed Hyperion | 51c | 225$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed Bubliki | 27c | 220$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hyperion | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,299 | 42.6%553 W · 746 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bubliki | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Hyperion | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bubliki | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hyperion | 40c | 126.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Bubliki | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | +32.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Hyperion | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Bubliki | 55c | 99.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 473 | 45.9%217 W · 256 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Bubliki | 63c | 81.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 248 | 67.3%167 W · 81 L | +35.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Hyperion | 53c | 73.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hyperion | 47c | 55.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,431 | 31.2%446 W · 985 L | -141.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Hyperion | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 275 | 55.6%153 W · 122 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Hyperion | 20c | 50.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +12.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Bubliki | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Bubliki | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Hyperion | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 658 | 42.1%277 W · 381 L | -56.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hyperion | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,745 | 35.9%986 W · 1,759 L | -155.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…462ebacked Bubliki | 49c | 42.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Hyperion | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 396 | 55.1%218 W · 178 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bubliki | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,494 | 43.6%651 W · 843 L | -31.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bubliki | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,022 | 45.4%464 W · 558 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hyperion | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 904 | 42.9%388 W · 516 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dcd6backed Hyperion | 51c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hyperion | 37c | 27.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 402 | 7%28 W · 374 L | -125.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Hyperion | 54c | 21.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Hyperion | 68c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerHyperion won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.