Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16df8ac83c99c10ac2b27dea6dea9fd6276a47bd68a3ffa51c694c7a588396d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hyperionof Hyperion, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Bubliki | 33c | 1,829$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.61 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hyperion | 63c | 1,541$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.71 | 904 | 42.9%388 W · 516 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bubliki | 51c | 661.82$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 1,509 | 48.5%732 W · 777 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hyperion | 49c | 337.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Bubliki | 36c | 263.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +12.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…142dbacked Hyperion | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hyperion | 49c | 196.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Bubliki | 66c | 193.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +29.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…0bbbbacked Bubliki | 51c | 159.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Bubliki | 12c | 134.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 661 | 25.7%170 W · 491 L | -94.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hyperion | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,940 | 35.9%696 W · 1,244 L | -98.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bubliki | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Hyperion | 31c | 94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Bubliki | 29c | 89.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hyperion | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 923 | 49.9%461 W · 462 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed Bubliki | 74c | 81.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Hyperion | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 313 | 31.6%99 W · 214 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Bubliki | 22c | 63.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Bubliki | 22c | 60.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 518 | 56.6%293 W · 225 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Hyperion | 80c | 55.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 287 | 56.4%162 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hyperion | 43c | 53.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,494 | 43.6%651 W · 843 L | -31.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hyperion | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,022 | 45.4%464 W · 558 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Hyperion | 62c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 299 | 30.4%91 W · 208 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Hyperion | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Bubliki | 65c | 46.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 439 | 50.3%221 W · 218 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed Bubliki | 65c | 43.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hyperion | 52c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,129 | 47.8%540 W · 589 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Bubliki | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,117 | 39.6%442 W · 675 L | -80.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Hyperion | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bubliki | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Bubliki | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 636 | 50.9%324 W · 312 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hyperion | 56c | 30.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Hyperion | 80c | 27.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hyperion | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,745 | 35.9%986 W · 1,759 L | -155.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Hyperion | 59c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 730 | 59.7%436 W · 294 L | +79.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hyperion | 58c | 22.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 469 | 38%178 W · 291 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Bubliki | 71c | 15.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 386 | 56.7%219 W · 167 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 3 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.