Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac3c2d2d65537feceea37c5cc781b5c69666634f79d0c5cf7255a379a6d5659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Hyperion, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Hyperion | 53c | 577.66$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Bubliki | 39c | 453$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +16.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Bubliki | 60c | 446.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +13.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Bubliki | 50c | 435.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 209 | 34.4%72 W · 137 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bubliki | 62c | 399.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Hyperion | 43c | 353.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…142dbacked Hyperion | 42c | 335.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hyperion | 26c | 299.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Bubliki | 36c | 298.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +12.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…59acbacked Bubliki | 37c | 281.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hyperion | 30c | 245.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 1,299 | 42.6%553 W · 746 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hyperion | 49c | 191.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 2,745 | 35.9%986 W · 1,759 L | -155.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Bubliki | 66c | 171.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Hyperion | 55c | 165.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bubliki | 63c | 164.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 923 | 49.9%461 W · 462 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bubliki | 62c | 128$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 275 | 55.6%153 W · 122 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Hyperion | 31c | 115.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 730 | 59.7%436 W · 294 L | +79.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hyperion | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,893 | 39.8%754 W · 1,139 L | -68.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Hyperion | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | +32.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bubliki | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,110 | 46.3%514 W · 596 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hyperion | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hyperion | 46c | 76.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,431 | 31.2%446 W · 985 L | -141.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Hyperion | 65c | 50.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 299 | 30.4%91 W · 208 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Hyperion | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hyperion | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,494 | 43.6%651 W · 843 L | -31.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Hyperion | 68c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Hyperion | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 658 | 42.1%277 W · 381 L | -56.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked Bubliki | 43c | 43.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…462ebacked Bubliki | 48c | 40.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Hyperion | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Hyperion | 32c | 36.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…0da4backed Hyperion | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hyperion | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2,359 | 39.2%925 W · 1,434 L | -89.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Hyperion | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,273 | 40%509 W · 764 L | -69.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Hyperion | 62c | 28.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 773 | 49.4%382 W · 391 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dcd6backed Bubliki | 40c | 28.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Hyperion | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2166backed Bubliki | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hyperion | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,940 | 35.9%696 W · 1,244 L | -98.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Hyperion | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerHyperion won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 3 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Hyperion vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.