Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8990aa4443c62142099cf1cce021ed013b95e9bc308a531e063c2915b405dec0

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, Joblife
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Joblife	25c	8,676$2,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,189.2	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Fire Flux Esports	64c	5,430$3,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.13	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Joblife	52c	1,444$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.34	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fire Flux Esports	61c	1,330$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.81	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Fire Flux Esports	49c	1,306$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.25	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Joblife	47c	1,196$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.62	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Fire Flux Esports	62c	776.33$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.01	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fire Flux Esports	62c	470.78$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.81	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Joblife	31c	470.09$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.95	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports	50c	378$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	264	47.3%125 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Joblife	51c	329.54$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.77	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Joblife	41c	292$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.72	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports	76c	268.16$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.4	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Joblife	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Joblife	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fire Flux Esports	46c	143.56$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.52	153	43.8%67 W · 86 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Joblife	46c	133.5$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.41	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Joblife	29c	116.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Joblife	42c	115$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fire Flux Esports	48c	112.67$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.59	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Joblife	28c	105$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Joblife	31c	104.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Joblife	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Joblife	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	164	52.4%86 W · 78 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Joblife	50c	97.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.86	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Joblife	19c	93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	225	39.1%88 W · 137 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Fire Flux Esports	55c	90.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	179	48%86 W · 93 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Joblife	29c	78.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Joblife	32c	78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	164	20.1%33 W · 131 L	-20.1wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c14…04d9backed Joblife	26c	69.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife	42c	61.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Joblife	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Joblife	54c	56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Joblife	49c	51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Fire Flux Esports	45c	50.78$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.93	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Joblife	41c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Joblife	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…a662backed Fire Flux Esports	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fire Flux Esports	63c	44.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Joblife	34c	41.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Fire Flux Esports	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Joblife	51c	39.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Fire Flux Esports	61c	32.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.87	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Fire Flux Esports	50c	28.66$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.33	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked Joblife	53c	24.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Joblife	44c	22.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Joblife	45c	22.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Fire Flux Esports	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFire Flux Esports won
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event