Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda328fda36e6d4e642b13bafbbbccdfc9090b0332cdbd0c397bd248b4138f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 14,689$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,863.4 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Joblife | 47c | 10,136$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.17 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Fire Flux Esports | 79c | 4,500$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.26 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joblife | 38c | 2,969$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.18 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Joblife | 34c | 2,639$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Joblife | 46c | 1,898$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.98 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 1,450$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.55 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Joblife | 48c | 1,426$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.12 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 1,410$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.19 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Joblife | 30c | 1,303$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Joblife | 41c | 1,277$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.41 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Joblife | 37c | 1,179$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.29 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 1,138$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.66 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Joblife | 45c | 897.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 728.2$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 686.02$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Joblife | 30c | 559.37$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Joblife | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Joblife | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Joblife | 52c | 355.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 307.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 293.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Joblife | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Joblife | 46c | 251$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 251$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Joblife | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Joblife | 46c | 220$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Joblife | 42c | 169.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Joblife | 34c | 157.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 146$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Joblife | 49c | 145.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Joblife | 29c | 144.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Joblife | 14c | 132.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a97…7a1bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 120.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 120.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Joblife | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 109.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Joblife | 48c | 108.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 108.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Joblife | 54c | 106.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Joblife | 48c | 102.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Joblife | 14c | 101.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Joblife | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Joblife | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 99.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Joblife | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Joblife | 39c | 89.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Joblife | 40c | 88.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 88.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Joblife | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Joblife | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 77.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Joblife | 51c | 70.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 63.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Joblife | 48c | 56.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Joblife | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Joblife | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Joblife | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Joblife | 31c | 49.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Joblife | 44c | 41.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Fire Flux Esports | 77c | 40.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 38.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Joblife | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 30.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Joblife | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Joblife | 41c | 26.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Joblife | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.