Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a05b73b0546ae9e22e5aad9486de76e8218b429d7131261d33ac49f1b3d43e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Yes | 17c | 4,262$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 77c | 1,198$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.48 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…fbf1backed Yes | 37c | 1,169$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 6c | 523.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 3c | 442.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…c587backed No | 64c | 390$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 35c | 356.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 37c | 321.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 314.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 277.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 62c | 268.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 67c | 253.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 249.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 231.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…364bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 69c | 192.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 157.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 64c | 156$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 27c | 153.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 146$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 39c | 134.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…b5cbbacked Yes | 37c | 133.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…d878backed Yes | 28c | 122.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 119.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 116.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 110.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 13c | 108.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…7477backed No | 74c | 107.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 105.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…938bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 97.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 63c | 92.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 65c | 90.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…ad5dbacked Yes | 39c | 76.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 76.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 27c | 75.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 69.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 38c | 63.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…1aa6backed No | 64c | 62.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…8bd4backed No | 71c | 60.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…c502backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…7af2backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 59.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 37c | 55.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…aa26backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 30c | 46.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 33c | 46.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 62c | 45.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 63c | 42.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 65c | 38.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 65c | 34.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…255dbacked No | 65c | 30.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 39c | 30.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed No | 62c | 29.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…65bdbacked No | 70c | 27.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…f674backed Yes | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…20efbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…8fb5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 75c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…7f20backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 77c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 70c | 21.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…1a58backed No | 63c | 16.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.