MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a260d2d98d1fda0fdaba421964eb25878a43f5d90c324c066131a6e054307a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked LG Twins | 2c | 4,022$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked LG Twins | 4c | 1,040$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…1fabbacked LG Twins | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed LG Twins | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked LG Twins | 4c | 597$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 74c | 441$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed LG Twins | 23c | 284.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 58c | 268.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 65c | 257.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 57c | 256$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed LG Twins | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed KT Wiz | 36c | 230$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 22c | 229$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 78c | 191.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed LG Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed KT Wiz | 76c | 173.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 25c | 164.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 56c | 150.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 40c | 130.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed KT Wiz | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 39c | 119.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 109.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 24c | 106.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 59c | 106.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed KT Wiz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed LG Twins | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed LG Twins | 27c | 55.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed KT Wiz | 62c | 43.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed LG Twins | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed LG Twins | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed LG Twins | 61c | 39.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 61c | 31.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 39c | 30.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed KT Wiz | 75c | 30.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 51c | 26.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 61c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.