MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a46be47d4ce90f6895341dff5b5352d2e5d3d640452e8f1d86e003be2f5328a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 2,626$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.03 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 2,390$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.23 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 806.56$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 748.37$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 685.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Lotte Giants | 68c | 625$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 75c | 508.84$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 443.9$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 366.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 339.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 64c | 301.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 256.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 234.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 194.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 186.39$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 185.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…401fbacked Lotte Giants | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…ff45backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 152.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 142$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 117.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 117.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 116$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 97.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 91.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 84.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 84.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 73.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Lotte Giants | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 76c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…f453backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 41.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lotte Giants | 80c | 41.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 79c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…0855backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 29.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…bfedbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…2c96backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…edbdbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…9c6dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Lotte Giants | 65c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…c80dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…92edbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Lotte Giants | 64c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.