TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Ida Wobker

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Sara Popaof Maria Sara Popa, Ida Wobker
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa107…e6a1backed Maria Sara Popa55c9,227$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ida Wobker31c6,366$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.6311,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Sara Popa71c5,079$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.691,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Sara Popa66c4,560$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.431,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sara Popa70c2,785$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.48,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ida Wobker58c2,479$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.868,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Maria Sara Popa43c1,220$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.7810446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ida Wobker45c1,216$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.058,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Ida Wobker38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38024844%109 W · 139 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ida Wobker56c862.89$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.012,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Ida Wobker49c816.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40096541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ida Wobker58c785.48$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.722,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Ida Wobker59c646.88$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6611060.9%67 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Ida Wobker59c644.97$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5336548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Ida Wobker41c535.71$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1426441.7%110 W · 154 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…3e80backed Maria Sara Popa60c447.84$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.436075%45 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Maria Sara Popa74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10425546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ida Wobker60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Ida Wobker41c379.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.391,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Maria Sara Popa68c368.62$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9663447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Maria Sara Popa48c364.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1424337%90 W · 153 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Ida Wobker46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.651441.8%215 W · 299 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ida Wobker58c279.8$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.283,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ida Wobker55c220.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.454,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Ida Wobker58c211.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9428848.3%139 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Ida Wobker59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Ida Wobker55c202.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Ida Wobker60c202$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5427449.6%136 W · 138 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ida Wobker32c188.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.96,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maria Sara Popa69c175.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1480558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Maria Sara Popa61c143.47$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.478537.6%32 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Maria Sara Popa74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1420772%149 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Ida Wobker58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027754.5%151 W · 126 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Maria Sara Popa43c118.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.61,01141.4%419 W · 592 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ida Wobker32c106.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Ida Wobker59c102.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.430355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Sara Popa67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Maria Sara Popa66c98.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6530147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Maria Sara Popa43c98.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5716248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Maria Sara Popa55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Sara Popa52c90.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.073,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ida Wobker60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5567745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ida Wobker52c88.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.893,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Ida Wobker59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038051.6%196 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Ida Wobker59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027357.9%158 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Sara Popa59c81.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.716,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Ida Wobker52c76.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0159941.1%246 W · 353 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Sara Popa50c76.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.150746.5%236 W · 271 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…2c78backed Ida Wobker34c75.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.765455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Maria Sara Popa42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4322442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Maria Sara Popa44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Maria Sara Popa68c64.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…e914backed Ida Wobker31c60.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ida Wobker27c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0155…07dfbacked Ida Wobker23c52.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Ida Wobker58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ida Wobker58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed53…456cbacked Ida Wobker33c48.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Maria Sara Popa42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6230042.3%127 W · 173 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Ida Wobker58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6823759.1%140 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Ida Wobker58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.218648.4%90 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…5976backed Ida Wobker37c33.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Maria Sara Popa57c33.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3126748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Ida Wobker60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6521854.6%119 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c0…fcb4backed Ida Wobker34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Maria Sara Popa41c29.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2615557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Maria Sara Popa68c29.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.368962.9%56 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Maria Sara Popa45c28.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8912035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Maria Sara Popa78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1525768.1%175 W · 82 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3005…458dbacked Ida Wobker50c27.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7861…e932backed Maria Sara Popa59c26.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc479…f56fbacked Maria Sara Popa42c25.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Maria Sara Popa71c23.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7918459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Ida Wobker58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3432659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Ida Wobker59c22.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0313255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Maria Sara Popa60c20.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.287634.5%302 W · 574 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67f…dd6bbacked Ida Wobker50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Ida Wobker57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Ida Wobker59c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2123251.7%120 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Ida Wobker59c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.628960.7%54 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Ida Wobker59c17.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1491255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.