TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens36c6,042$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.4592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Maple Leafs61c4,789$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Canadiens44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs57c1,375$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.4120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs43c1,275$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.93,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs56c1,001$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9b…e82cbacked Canadiens44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb688…4e56backed Maple Leafs56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens67c823.48$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.731,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens2c738.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.077450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs55c723.87$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs10c632.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.6172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs25c541.54$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.051,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs47c500$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.581,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Canadiens68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Maple Leafs57c358.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.46862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs56c351.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Canadiens45c334.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Canadiens43c279.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Maple Leafs56c266.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.47560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Canadiens59c221.95$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs44c215.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Maple Leafs34c193.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Maple Leafs40c185.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.374526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens46c132.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Maple Leafs55c124.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Canadiens45c122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.92040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens9c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf6…a8edbacked Canadiens45c110.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens42c101.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Canadiens44c99.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9efa…f602backed Canadiens45c99.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241e…dd4dbacked Maple Leafs58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e0…d2aebacked Maple Leafs58c93.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Canadiens63c93.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.868744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e3…95ffbacked Maple Leafs58c91.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92f…c50dbacked Maple Leafs58c83.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebf…6356backed Canadiens45c82.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77c…cb14backed Maple Leafs49c81.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe289…6604backed Maple Leafs56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4286…6f78backed Canadiens46c69.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Canadiens44c62.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens43c61.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Maple Leafs57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens43c59.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0926…57cabacked Canadiens44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Maple Leafs57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.634250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0afd…9671backed Maple Leafs56c50.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ee…2f00backed Maple Leafs57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Canadiens61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4aa…6594backed Canadiens44c45.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Canadiens45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Maple Leafs57c43.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.648638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a8…364abacked Maple Leafs56c42.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6263…35dabacked Maple Leafs56c41.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x334b…c9d7backed Maple Leafs56c41.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…b48bbacked Maple Leafs56c40.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b9…aa4dbacked Canadiens44c40.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…a244backed Maple Leafs56c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Canadiens44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Canadiens45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf541…7812backed Maple Leafs56c38.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9648…ac3fbacked Canadiens44c38.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc0…e03ebacked Maple Leafs56c38.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f9…b0a2backed Maple Leafs56c37.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…4956backed Maple Leafs56c35.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Maple Leafs56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…2b33backed Maple Leafs58c35.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+130.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Maple Leafs57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…bbc7backed Maple Leafs56c34.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a2…c32ebacked Canadiens44c34.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803d…0229backed Canadiens44c33.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76af…b987backed Maple Leafs56c33.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd729…f32bbacked Canadiens44c32.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d76…9d44backed Canadiens44c32.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8903…92f2backed Canadiens44c32.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bf…ef11backed Canadiens44c31.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Canadiens66c30.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a6…4916backed Maple Leafs56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.40per pick51cpaid+83.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbdb9…0e56backed Canadiens44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.41per pick49cpaid-81.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x09fa…496bbacked Canadiens43c29.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c4…8fc3backed Canadiens44c29.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…8cfabacked Canadiens45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0305…9f54backed Canadiens44c28.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda0…a264backed Maple Leafs56c28.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbb…41ecbacked Maple Leafs56c28.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e7…97e0backed Maple Leafs56c27.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb8…9779backed Canadiens43c27.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca9…1484backed Maple Leafs56c26.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4a…6a8abacked Canadiens44c26.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c3…118cbacked Maple Leafs56c26.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…0c74backed Canadiens44c26.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9bb…547fbacked Maple Leafs56c25.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771b…b30bbacked Maple Leafs57c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5c57backed Canadiens44c25.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e2…2c42backed Maple Leafs56c25.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…58abbacked Canadiens44c25.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.