Fifa International · resolved market
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8adae985e2fe2a8f8d08f19b0f65acb8c7a9574d69b0b100b59dae83f6ebbe41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 17,264$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.12 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 11,583$9,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…60e8backed Yes | 22c | 1,680$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,194$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed Yes | 13c | 798.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 767.77$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 310.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 78c | 256.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Yes | 5c | 209.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 110.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 23c | 107.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed No | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…1103backed Yes | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 56.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 55.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 37.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 75c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 80c | 19.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 80c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw?this page
- Will Qatar win on 2026-05-28?No won
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.