Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b476d7b23ee9c5842d01e2c19c18860b8df4072e76ac094885b4b2b894b12b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Under | 57c | 1,589$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.19 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 44c | 674.18$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Under | 56c | 653.84$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…0339backed Under | 55c | 548.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 268$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 210.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 46c | 157.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 153.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Under | 58c | 149.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Under | 57c | 138.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.0wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 37c | 111.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 41c | 79.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 22c | 63.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 80c | 57.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Over | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 51c | 27.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Under | 80c | 12.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageWhite Dragons won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons - Game 1 WinnerWhite Dragons won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons - Game 2 WinnerWhite Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.