Lol · resolved market
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802727c21a1bf08fe44fd4dad5541638acbbb7e916725abc6ad16fab271069cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Dragonsof NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS, White Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5384…0339backed White Dragons | 61c | 3,490$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 45c | 2,813$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.83 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 21c | 1,516$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed White Dragons | 39c | 1,482$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.38 | 397 | 70.3%279 W · 118 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked White Dragons | 58c | 1,435$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.19 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 33c | 1,197$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.47 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed White Dragons | 62c | 994.21$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.97 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed White Dragons | 75c | 800.34$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 26c | 718.54$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 717.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.85 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6aa…8bb3backed White Dragons | 64c | 672$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 40c | 527.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 348.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -14.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked White Dragons | 63c | 298.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 283.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 42c | 268.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 38c | 260.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 38c | 253$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 241.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 228.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 39c | 208.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed White Dragons | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 168 | 66.7%112 W · 56 L | +23.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7487backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 155.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,053 | 23.4%246 W · 807 L | -76.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 12c | 136.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 136.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 991 | 47.1%467 W · 524 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed White Dragons | 64c | 127.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 36c | 123.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…aaaebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed White Dragons | 41c | 94.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 109 | 69.7%76 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 18c | 82.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 266 | 30.8%82 W · 184 L | -26.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 58c | 82.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -19.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 41c | 81.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 938 | 44.3%416 W · 522 L | -31.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 44c | 76.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 33c | 66.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 22c | 62.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 535 | 32.3%173 W · 362 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed White Dragons | 48c | 42.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed White Dragons | 40c | 37.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 76 | 84.2%64 W · 12 L | +11.0wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed White Dragons | 59c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed White Dragons | 66c | 28.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 463 | 62.6%290 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed White Dragons | 59c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons - Game 1 WinnerWhite Dragons won
- LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons - Game 2 WinnerWhite Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.