Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd6936645080dc2c3c6a4be0ee9af45e4d858c35e3cb61a5fd57c9fe47b6af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dellien | 36c | 874$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dellien | 36c | 823.43$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cerundolo | 64c | 746$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Cerundolo | 64c | 540$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Cerundolo | 63c | 397.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Cerundolo | 61c | 350$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Cerundolo | 64c | 237.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dellien | 36c | 156$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Dellien | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Dellien | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dellien | 36c | 118$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Cerundolo | 64c | 98.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Dellien | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Dellien | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Dellien | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Cerundolo | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dellien | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed Cerundolo | 62c | 48.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Dellien | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Cerundolo | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Dellien | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Cerundolo | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5)this page
- Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo DellienCerundolo won
- Cerundolo vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Dellien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs DellienCerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.