Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c170b09953483afa2282b56989cea5fd517cd2e197d0c0a86a9651aa1575ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 10,704$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.66 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 6,110$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.15 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 2,800$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.05 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 1,296$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.59 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 54c | 272$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 46c | 269.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 34c | 238$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Over | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 54c | 202$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 45c | 164.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 54c | 156.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 33c | 118.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 45c | 105.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 50c | 101.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 53c | 95.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 54c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 65.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 51.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 45c | 45.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…6961backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 45c | 29.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Under | 46c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Cloud9 won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.