Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Juan Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c76d3f516fb403e7756204a45ad27155bd5eb596cc7dc946e4710845e337ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chun-Hsin Tsengof Chun-Hsin Tseng, Juan Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 78c | 2,583$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 72c | 2,088$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Martin | 27c | 1,633$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Martin | 25c | 1,193$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Juan Martin | 7c | 1,159$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Martin | 22c | 907.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 78c | 906.23$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 75c | 774.37$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Juan Martin | 24c | 740.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 78c | 642.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Martin | 24c | 572.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Martin | 22c | 542.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juan Martin | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 76c | 304.76$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Juan Martin | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Juan Martin | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Martin | 35c | 148.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 76c | 129.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Martin | 25c | 120.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Martin | 33c | 115.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Martin | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Juan Martin | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 74c | 93.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Martin | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Juan Martin | 25c | 77.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 78c | 76.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Juan Martin | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 75c | 53.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…078ebacked Juan Martin | 27c | 51.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 76c | 49.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 75c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 76c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.