Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc8f07e7a9ea7ef54f2a267935a5077c57b917d6d1e7730f75638e29528de31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 9,473$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.31 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 5,743$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.62 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 4,620$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.6 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 62c | 2,005$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.94 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,388$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.87 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 1,130$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 67c | 952.97$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 540.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 19c | 506.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 65c | 438.54$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 42c | 355.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 143 | 62.2%89 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 19c | 236.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 185.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 183.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 59c | 154.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 21c | 146.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 52c | 136.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 48c | 131.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 127.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 38c | 107.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 793 | 55.4%439 W · 354 L | +36.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 61c | 96.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 61c | 94.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 42c | 91.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 86.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 85.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 21c | 80.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 30c | 77.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 77.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 29c | 75.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 24c | 48.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed No | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 44.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 202 | 60.4%122 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 57c | 33.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 27.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 69c | 27.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked No | 63c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 41c | 24.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.