Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Illinois State Redbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd10e8c716eb78cc45ddbddb15d667df82bd83706a840d7a4453449e3433ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof UIC Flames, Illinois State Redbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 45c | 4,340$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Illinois State Redbirds | 22c | 3,186$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.1 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed UIC Flames | 49c | 2,824$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.58 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Illinois State Redbirds | 57c | 2,817$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 1,961$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames | 15c | 844.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UIC Flames | 67c | 838.55$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois State Redbirds | 51c | 826$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Illinois State Redbirds | 36c | 758.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UIC Flames | 14c | 754.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.07 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 625.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Illinois State Redbirds | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked UIC Flames | 29c | 613$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UIC Flames | 20c | 558.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 509.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Illinois State Redbirds | 59c | 493$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UIC Flames | 78c | 277.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 255.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed UIC Flames | 20c | 201.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UIC Flames | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 46c | 185.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 165.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Illinois State Redbirds | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Illinois State Redbirds | 61c | 149.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Illinois State Redbirds | 30c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 62c | 116.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed UIC Flames | 67c | 87.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames | 51c | 77.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked UIC Flames | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed UIC Flames | 35c | 70.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UIC Flames | 41c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked UIC Flames | 38c | 66.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Illinois State Redbirds | 47c | 57.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2513backed UIC Flames | 37c | 38.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UIC Flames | 38c | 37.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed UIC Flames | 45c | 31.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed UIC Flames | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Illinois State Redbirds | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…543ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Illinois State Redbirdsthis page
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-11.5)UIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 141.5Under won
- UIC Flames vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.