Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9a1cd403882490171e93fc7fd13c19f4bc655ebb229e5c7791f7f54f7467ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed No | 32c | 702.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 3c | 446.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 67c | 387.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 79c | 385.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 15c | 355.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 57c | 214.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 21c | 202.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 53c | 187.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…2912backed No | 20c | 170.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 153.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 145.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 43c | 123.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 55c | 116.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 115.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 110.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 57c | 104.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 104.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 101.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…6090backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…d74dbacked Yes | 57c | 99.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 29c | 96.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 89.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 38c | 85.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…8d22backed Yes | 47c | 84.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 39c | 72.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 51c | 71.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 27c | 68.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 67.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a5a1backed Yes | 78c | 62.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 55.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 49.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 47c | 49.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 48.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 46.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 72c | 44.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…0511backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc705…b62fbacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…a323backed No | 64c | 36.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 43c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 57c | 34.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 59c | 33.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 33.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 33.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 41c | 33.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Yes | 54c | 32.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 43c | 32.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…3b47backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…64f4backed No | 51c | 29.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…f976backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…5dc0backed Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 54c | 23.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 48c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 21.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 53c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…24f9backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.