MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e68b1d3598ec899e5b907599f553e4ffe7af433a7f72414ad17a4f5a46d2238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 69c | 5,010$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.74 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 2,346$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,264$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,115$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 849.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.23 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 702.16$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 533.53$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 532.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 483.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 438.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 391.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 382.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 342.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…ac7dbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 245.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 240.12$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 234.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 214.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…98d8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 191$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…313abacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 163.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 142.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 137.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 132.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Texas Rangers | 72c | 99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 95.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 76.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 74.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 71.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 69.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 65.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 64.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 59.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 53.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 43.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 27.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 25.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 24.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c44…97e7backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.