Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Zeynep Sonmez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec87586b45febf9eada18d1f529cb3679add67ce38484c11e1c958ef1bd4110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Zeynep Sonmez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zeynep Sonmez | 7c | 5,324$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 12c | 3,351$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 12c | 3,181$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Zeynep Sonmez | 22c | 2,000$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.01 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 17c | 1,992$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 12c | 1,782$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 11c | 1,351$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Jessica Pegula | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 18c | 1,097$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 15c | 873.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Jessica Pegula | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Jessica Pegula | 79c | 656.63$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Zeynep Sonmez | 2c | 633.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zeynep Sonmez | 13c | 619.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 17c | 430.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 419.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 399.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zeynep Sonmez | 12c | 350.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Zeynep Sonmez | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Zeynep Sonmez | 16c | 268.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…9921backed Jessica Pegula | 77c | 257.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Jessica Pegula | 79c | 252.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 18c | 251.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Jessica Pegula | 79c | 221.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zeynep Sonmez | 12c | 206.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Zeynep Sonmez | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jessica Pegula | 79c | 201.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Zeynep Sonmez | 17c | 180.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Zeynep Sonmez | 16c | 163.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 157.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Jessica Pegula | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Zeynep Sonmez | 10c | 148.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 22c | 146$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 142.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zeynep Sonmez | 15c | 132.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Zeynep Sonmez | 19c | 115.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Zeynep Sonmez | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Jessica Pegula | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…1d87backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 74.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Jessica Pegula | 79c | 63.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 60.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Zeynep Sonmez | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Zeynep Sonmez | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zeynep Sonmez | 21c | 49.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…1587backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…f175backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Jessica Pegula | 78c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…37aabacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…3137backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Jessica Pegula | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Zeynep Sonmezthis page
- Pegula vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs SonmezPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Sonmez (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.